Papaya Market in South Africa
Market Overview
After two years of decline, the South African papaya market increased by
% to $
in
. Over the period under review, consumption, however, recorded a mild reduction. Papaya consumption peaked at $
in 2009; however, from 2010 to
, consumption remained at a lower figure.
In value terms, papaya production dropped modestly to $
in
estimated in export price. Overall, production, however, saw a deep reduction. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2011 with an increase of
% against the previous year. Papaya production peaked at $
in 2007; however, from 2008 to
, production remained at a lower figure.
In
, the average papaya yield in South Africa totaled
tons per ha, approximately mirroring the year before. Over the period under review, the yield, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2013 with an increase of
% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the average papaya yield hit record highs at
tons per ha in 2009; however, from 2010 to
, the yield stood at a somewhat lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.
In
, the harvested area of papayas in South Africa expanded sharply to
ha, with an increase of
% against
figures. Over the period under review, the harvested area, however, showed a pronounced curtailment. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2012 with an increase of
% against the previous year. The papaya harvested area peaked at
ha in 2016; however, from 2017 to
, the harvested area failed to regain momentum.





In value terms, papaya production dropped modestly to $





In





In







Consumption
After two years of decline, consumption of papayas increased by
% to
tons in
. Overall, the total consumption indicated slight growth from 2007 to
: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +
% over the last fifteen-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on
figures, consumption decreased by -
% against 2019 indices. Papaya consumption peaked at
tons in 2019; however, from
to
, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.
The size of the papaya market in South Africa totaled $
in
, growing by
% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). In general, consumption, however, continues to indicate a mild shrinkage. Papaya consumption peaked at $
in 2009; however, from 2010 to
, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.










The size of the papaya market in South Africa totaled $





Market Forecast
Driven by increasing demand for papayas in South Africa, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next eight years. Market performance is forecast to accelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +
% for the period from
to
, which is projected to bring the market volume to
tons by the end of
.
In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +
% for the period from
to
, which is projected to bring the market value to $
(in nominal prices) by the end of
.





In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +





Market Structure
Driven by a growing demand, the share of imports in total supply in South Africa increased significantly over the last fifteen years (from
% to
%).


Trade Balance
South Africa remains a net importer of papaya; in physical and value terms, imports consistently exceeded exports from 2007 to
. In
, there was a significant trade deficit of
tons, which was equal to $
. This tangible trade deficit reflects the fact that the market remains dependent on imports, which is likely to continue in the medium term.




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