Updated Feb 3, 2023 11:05

Apple Market in Egypt

Market Overview
The Egyptian apple market expanded slightly to $ in , rising by % against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Over the period under review, the total consumption indicated moderate growth from 2007 to : its value increased at an average annual rate of +% over the last fourteen-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on figures, consumption decreased by -% against 2017 indices. Over the period under review, the market attained the peak level at $ in 2017; however, from 2018 to , consumption failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, apple production expanded slightly to $ in estimated in export price. Overall, the total production indicated measured growth from 2007 to : its value increased at an average annual rate of +% over the last fourteen years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on figures, production increased by +% against 2018 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2013 with an increase of %. Over the period under review, production reached the peak level at $ in 2017; however, from 2018 to , production remained at a lower figure.

In , the average yield of apples in Egypt contracted slightly to tons per ha, almost unchanged from the previous year's figure. In general, the yield, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2012 when the yield increased by %. The apple yield peaked at tons per ha in 2016; however, from 2017 to , the yield remained at a lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In , the apple harvested area in Egypt stood at ha, flattening at the previous year. In general, the harvested area showed a mild increase. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2013 when the harvested area increased by %. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to apple production reached the maximum at ha in 2016; however, from 2017 to , the harvested area stood at a somewhat lower figure.


Consumption
In , consumption of apples in Egypt rose modestly to tons, increasing by % compared with the year before. In general, the total consumption indicated a temperate increase from 2007 to : its volume increased at an average annual rate of +% over the last fifteen-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on figures, consumption increased by +% against indices. Over the period under review, consumption attained the maximum volume at tons in 2019; however, from to , consumption remained at a lower figure.

The revenue of the apple market in Egypt expanded markedly to $ in , with an increase of % against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Over the period under review, the total consumption indicated moderate growth from 2007 to : its value increased at an average annual rate of +% over the last fifteen-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on figures, consumption increased by +% against indices. Apple consumption peaked at $ in 2017; afterwards, it flattened through to .


Market Forecast
Driven by increasing demand for apple in Egypt, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next eight-year period. Market performance is forecast to accelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +% for the period from to , which is projected to bring the market volume to tons by the end of .

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +% for the period from to , which is projected to bring the market value to $ (in nominal prices) by the end of .


Market Structure
In , the share of imports in total consumption accounted for % in value terms and % in physical terms. The share of imports decreased moderately (- percentage point) over the period under review.


Trade Balance
Egypt remains a net importer of apple; in physical and value terms, imports consistently exceeded exports from 2007 to . In , there was a significant trade deficit of tons, which was equal to $. This tangible trade deficit reflects the fact that the market remains dependent on imports, which is likely to continue in the medium term.