Updated Oct 9, 2022 15:56

Roasted Coffee Substitutes Market in Indonesia

Market Overview
In , after five years of growth, there was decline in the Indonesian roasted coffee substitutes market, when its value decreased by -% to $. Overall, consumption, however, posted noticeable growth. Over the period under review, the market attained the peak level at $ in , and then declined slightly in the following year.

In value terms, roasted coffee substitutes production reduced slightly to $ in estimated in export price. In general, production, however, posted a pronounced expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 with an increase of %. Over the period under review, production attained the maximum level at $ in , and then contracted in the following year.


Consumption
In , the amount of roasted chicory and other roasted coffee substitutes consumed in Indonesia reached tons, remaining stable against the previous year's figure. In general, the total consumption indicated a slight increase from 2007 to : its volume increased at an average annual rate of +% over the last fifteen-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on figures, consumption increased by +% against 2015 indices. Roasted coffee substitutes consumption peaked in and is expected to retain growth in the near future.

The revenue of the roasted coffee substitutes market in Indonesia reached $ in , almost unchanged from the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Overall, consumption continues to indicate perceptible growth. Roasted coffee substitutes consumption peaked in and is expected to retain growth in years to come.


Market Forecast
Driven by increasing demand for roasted coffee substitutes in Indonesia, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next eight years. Market performance is forecast to retain its current trend pattern, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +% for the period from to , which is projected to bring the market volume to tons by the end of .

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +% for the period from to , which is projected to bring the market value to $ (in nominal prices) by the end of .


Market Structure
Over the period under review, imports of roasted coffee substitutes in Indonesia were negligibly small compared to the production volumes. Therefore, the share of imports in the total market was practically nonexistent, both in volume and in value terms. This situation has remained constant over the period under review, which means that domestic producers entirely meet the domestic demand for roasted coffee substitutes. In , the share of imports in total consumption accounted for % in value terms and % in physical terms. The share of imports remained relatively constant over the period under review. In , the share of imports in total consumption accounted for % in value terms and % in physical terms. The share of imports decreased moderately (less than percentage point) over the period under review.


Trade Balance
Indonesia remains a net importer of roasted coffee substitutes; in physical and value terms, imports consistently exceeded exports from 2007 to . In , there was a significant trade deficit of tons, which was equal to $.