Tobacco Market Overview in Algeria
Market Overview
The Algerian tobacco market reduced to $
in 2019, with a decrease of -
% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Overall, consumption, however, recorded a slight decline. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of
% against the previous year. As a result, consumption attained the peak level of $
. From 2018 to 2019, the growth of the market remained at a lower figure.
In value terms, tobacco production shrank dramatically to $
in 2019 estimated in export prices. In general, production recorded a pronounced shrinkage. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2016 with an increase of
% against the previous year. Over the period under review, production attained the maximum level at $
in 2008; however, from 2009 to 2019, production failed to regain the momentum.




In value terms, tobacco production shrank dramatically to $



Consumption
In 2019, the amount of tobacco (smoking tobacco, chewing tobacco, snuff) consumed in Algeria declined modestly to
tonnes, waning by -
% compared with 2018 figures. Overall, consumption, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when the consumption volume increased by
% y-o-y. As a result, consumption reached the peak volume of
tonnes. From 2018 to 2019, the growth of the consumption failed to regain the momentum.
The size of the tobacco market in Algeria contracted to $
in 2019, with a decrease of -
% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). In general, consumption, however, showed a mild reduction. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 when the market value increased by
% against the previous year. As a result, consumption reached the peak level of $
. From 2018 to 2019, the growth of the market remained at a somewhat lower figure.




The size of the tobacco market in Algeria contracted to $




Market Forecast
Driven by increasing demand for tobacco in Algeria, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next decade. Market performance is forecast to accelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +
% for the period from 2019 to
, which is projected to bring the market volume to
tonnes by the end of
.




Market Structure
Driven by a growing demand, the share of imports in total supply in Algeria increased significantly over the last twelve-year period (from
% to
%).


Trade Balance
Algeria remains a net importer of tobacco; in physical and value terms, imports consistently exceeded exports from 2007 to 2019. In 2019, there was a significant trade deficit of
tonnes, which was equal to $
. This tangible trade deficit reflects the fact that the market remains dependent on imports, which is likely to continue in the medium term.


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