Updated Mar 10, 2023 00:13

Clay Market in Germany

Market Overview
In , the German clay market increased by % to $, rising for the second year in a row after three years of decline. Over the period under review, consumption saw a perceptible downturn. Over the period under review, the market hit record highs at $ in 2011; however, from 2012 to , consumption remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, clay production reached $ in estimated in export price. Over the period under review, production continues to indicate a deep reduction. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2009 with an increase of %. Clay production peaked at $ in 2011; however, from 2012 to , production remained at a lower figure.


Consumption
In , consumption of clays in Germany fell modestly to tons, with a decrease of -% on figures. In general, consumption recorded a deep setback. Clay consumption peaked at tons in 2011; however, from 2012 to , consumption remained at a lower figure.

The size of the clay market in Germany rose notably to $ in , increasing by % against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Over the period under review, consumption recorded a pronounced curtailment. Over the period under review, the market attained the peak level at $ in 2011; however, from 2012 to , consumption failed to regain momentum.


Consumption by Type
Bentonite ( tons), clays for construction and industrial use ( tons) and fireclay ( tons) were the main products of clay consumption in Germany, with a combined % share of the total volume.

From 2007 to , the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the main consumed products, was attained by bentonite (with a CAGR of +%), while consumption for the other products experienced a decline.

In value terms, bentonite ($) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was taken by kaolin and kaolinic clays ($). It was followed by clays for construction and industrial use.

From 2007 to , the average annual growth rate of the value of bentonite markets stood at +%. With regard to the other consumed products, the following average annual rates of growth were recorded: kaolin and kaolinic clays (-% per year) and clays for construction and industrial use (-% per year).


Market Forecast
Depressed by shrinking demand for clay in Germany, the market is expected to continue its downward consumption trend over the next eight-year period. The performance of the market is forecast to contract with an anticipated CAGR of -% for the period from to , which is projected to depress the market volume to tons by the end of .

In value terms, the market is forecast to contract with an anticipated CAGR of +% for the period from to , which is projected to bring the market value to $ (in nominal prices) by the end of .


Market Structure
Driven by a growing demand, the share of imports in total supply in Germany increased significantly over the last fifteen years (from % to %).


Trade Balance
Germany remains a net exporter of clay; in physical and value terms, exports consistently exceeded imports from 2007 to . In , there was a significant trade surplus of tons, which was equal to $. This tangible trade surplus reflects the fact that the market remains buoyed by domestic production, and the industry is highly incorporated into the global market, which is likely to continue in the medium term.