Market for Cotton Lint And Cotton Seed in China
Market Overview
The Chinese market for cotton lint expanded slightly to $
in
, increasing by
% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). In general, consumption, however, recorded a pronounced decrease. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2008 when the market value increased by
% year-to-year. Cotton lint and cotton seed consumption peaked at $
in 2012; however, from 2013 to
, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.
In value terms, cotton lint and cotton seed production declined modestly to $
in
estimated in export prices. Overall, production continues to indicate a noticeable decrease. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2008 with an increase of
% year-to-year. As a result, production attained the peak level of $
. from 2009 to
, and cotton seed production growth remained at a somewhat lower figure.
In
, the average cotton lint and cotton seed yield in China was estimated at
kg per ha, leveling off at 2019 figures. In general, the yield showed a relatively flat trend pattern. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.
In
, approx.
ha of cotton lint were harvested in China; therefore, remained relatively stable against 2019 figures. Overall, the harvested area showed a relatively flat trend pattern.






In value terms, cotton lint and cotton seed production declined modestly to $





In


In


Consumption
In
, approx.
tonnes of cotton lint were consumed in China; with an increase of
% against 2019 figures. In general, consumption, however, showed a perceptible shrinkage. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2011 with an increase of
% against the previous year. Cotton lint and cotton seed consumption peaked at
tonnes in 2012; however, from 2013 to
, consumption remained at a lower figure.
The size of the market for cotton lint in China rose modestly to $
in
, picking up by
% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Overall, consumption, however, saw a noticeable reduction. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2008 with an increase of
% y-o-y. Cotton lint and cotton seed consumption peaked at $
in 2012; however, from 2013 to
, consumption failed to regain the momentum.






The size of the market for cotton lint in China rose modestly to $






Market Forecast
Depressed by shrinking demand for cotton lint and cotton seed in China, the market is expected to continue its downward consumption trend over the next decade. The performance of the market is forecast to contract with an anticipated CAGR of -
% for the period from
to
, which is projected to depress the market volume to
tonnes by the end of
.





Market Structure
In
, the share of imports in total consumption accounted for
% in value terms and
% in physical terms. The share of imports increased moderately (
percentage point) over the period under review.




Trade Balance
China remains a net importer of cotton lint and cotton seed; in physical and value terms, imports consistently exceeded exports from 2007 to
. In
, there was a significant trade deficit of
tonnes, which was equal to $
. This tangible trade deficit reflects the fact that the market remains dependent on imports, which is likely to continue in the medium term.




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